![]() So, Republicans are leading the early vote count by two points right now IN MICHIGAN, and in the past, Democrats have almost always had to build a sizable early vote lead to overcome the surge of Republican turn out on Election Day.Ī final thing to keep in mind… You have a much better chance of ensuring your vote is counted if you show up in person on Election Day. Right now, two million of those ballots have been returned, and the GOP has a two point lead of 41 to 39 percent. In Michigan, of the 3.1 million mail-in ballots requested, 39 percent of those requests came from Democrats, 41 percent from Republicans. So far, of those returned, 42 percent are Democrats, 34 percent are Republicans. In Arizona, 36 percent of Republicans and Democrats requested early ballots. Diminished black turnout, Hillary’s inability to recreate the Obama coalition, is something that is widely seen as contributing to her humiliating loss. So as of right now, Biden is doing worse in Florida with a key constituency, young black voters, than even Hillary did. That’s half a percentage point down from the same period in 2016.” Here’s a key metric Politico reports on that should very much worry Team Biden: “According to TargetSmart’s analysis, Black voters aged 18 to 29 have cast 15.8 percent of the total ballots so far in Florida. “After weeks of Democrats outvoting them by mail, Republican voters stormed early voting precincts in person this week, taking large bites out of their opponents’ historic lead in pre-Election Day ballots.” “Florida Republicans are pouring out of the trenches,” an alarmed Politico writes. We don’t yet know who specifically is winning the vote, but we do know the party affiliation of those voting early, and even the far-left Politico has been forced to admit that things do not look very good for Joe Biden in Florida right now. One thing we can look at now is what actual voting looks like.
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